Description

This analysis provides a forecast of SOL prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-14 1.490573e-03 0.001656 0.001822 0.001999 0.002183 0.002367 0.002567
2025-09-21 1.296388e-03 0.001542 0.001794 0.002070 0.002361 0.002658 0.002984
2025-09-28 1.143408e-03 0.001453 0.001777 0.002139 0.002527 0.002928 0.003373
2025-10-05 9.827050e-04 0.001340 0.001724 0.002160 0.002634 0.003131 0.003686
2025-10-12 8.492751e-04 0.001246 0.001682 0.002184 0.002740 0.003327 0.003988
2025-10-19 7.147667e-04 0.001138 0.001616 0.002177 0.002805 0.003474 0.004233
2025-10-26 5.955317e-04 0.001038 0.001552 0.002165 0.002859 0.003605 0.004458
2025-11-02 4.900708e-04 0.000945 0.001489 0.002149 0.002904 0.003723 0.004665
2025-11-09 4.031783e-04 0.000867 0.001437 0.002142 0.002956 0.003846 0.004874
2025-11-16 3.313448e-04 0.000801 0.001396 0.002143 0.003014 0.003973 0.005085
2025-11-23 2.697496e-04 0.000742 0.001360 0.002146 0.003073 0.004097 0.005291
2025-11-30 2.401147e-04 0.000726 0.001375 0.002210 0.003199 0.004296 0.005579
2025-12-07 1.596102e-04 0.000633 0.001304 0.002186 0.003246 0.004432 0.005825
2025-12-14 1.155862e-04 0.000591 0.001296 0.002241 0.003386 0.004674 0.006194
2025-12-21 7.945722e-05 0.000553 0.001293 0.002300 0.003532 0.004925 0.006573
2025-12-28 4.090630e-05 0.000494 0.001255 0.002314 0.003622 0.005112 0.006881
2026-01-04 1.509969e-05 0.000442 0.001224 0.002335 0.003720 0.005305 0.007195
2026-01-11 1.650427e-07 0.000381 0.001171 0.002324 0.003777 0.005451 0.007454
2026-01-18 NaN 0.000322 0.001118 0.002309 0.003827 0.005586 0.007701
2026-01-25 NaN 0.000269 0.001065 0.002291 0.003871 0.005713 0.007935
2026-02-01 NaN 0.000224 0.001022 0.002283 0.003926 0.005850 0.008180
2026-02-08 NaN 0.000187 0.000986 0.002284 0.003989 0.005997 0.008434
2026-02-15 NaN 0.000155 0.000954 0.002287 0.004054 0.006144 0.008687